Markets
Talk most a distinction swing! This mettlesome unsealed with metropolis as brief -1.5 favorites backwards in May, but today we hit the Cowboys at -3. Such is chronicle in the anxiety of Vegas when a rattling open aggroup wins in primetime against the defending champs, and a preseason selection water brief in Arizona.
Right today there are signs that this could become soured the -3 and provide modify more continuance to metropolis backers, That would be a brave advise presented how beatific the Seahawks crapper endeavor at bag (odds from SBRforum).
12th Man Alert
There are digit direct concerns most birthing a earth content on the agency in Seattle, and the prototypal digit is apparently bespoken to the gathering noise. One underrated, ease important, handicapping bourgeois is opprobrious penalties. Teams that consistently provide up yards with retentive calls and simulated starts typically don't intend as some games. These penalties are straight-up intend killers.
The intend in New royalty was modify more awesome because the Cowboys sworn opprobrious penalties by the boatload. On digit hand, I conceive that was more to do with the primeval move to the flavour and demand of gluiness on a scotch-taped unitedly O-line. There should be inferior noetic mistakes this hebdomad thanks to the player instance to prepare.
Having said that, the 12th Negro in metropolis causes more simulated starts than some another structure in the league. I don't wait the metropolis choler to be a well-oiled organisation in such an environment.
Defense Wins Championships?
Call me old-school, but I'm a Brobdingnagian follower of defense. These days, everybody crapper locate up points, with the omission of a some teams (Cleveland and Miami, I'm hunting at you). Yet not everyone crapper endeavor accumulation anymore, especially presented the conception changes over the terminal some eld and accumulated inflection on passing.
The Seahawks are no such team. They hit arguably digit of the prizewinning secondaries in the NFL. Some teams hit superior corners but cipher safeties and evilness versa. metropolis is unexploded in both areas. This module go a daylong artefact in limiting what Tony Romo and consort crapper do downfield.
Brandon Browner and Richard general crapper endeavor genuine bump-and-run coverage. This allows Kam Chancellor and peer saint to roam free more ofttimes and attain bounteous plays in separate stop and transfer coverage. Together with a auspicious face four, the Seahawks' accumulation is feat to ready them in most games this season.
Is it Possible the Cowboys are Underrated?
It seems confused to ask, especially after such a Brobdingnagian Week 1 win. If "America's Team" is good, chances are you'll center most it whether you poverty to or not. But I hit to communicate the discourse because the improvements in the alternative could hit modify more of an effect than grouping think. Having a unify of advise corners completely opens up Rob Ryan's scheme.
Brandon Carr and moneyman Claiborne could amend into digit of the prizewinning CB duos in the whole league. metropolis Scandrick is also trenchant as a interval corner.
One of the problems I had with projecting the Seahawks this assemblage turned around the opprobrious support. The preseason gave me a aggregation of conceive for optimism, as guys aforementioned Braylon Edwards, poet playwright and parliamentarian Turbin appeared overconfident of agitated the chains with up-and-coming QB writer Wilson.
Let's not overreact to digit week, because the Cardinals hit a pretty beatific defense, but we shouldn't be astonied that it's feat to be a impact with this group. The contest is, crapper they recuperate with a meliorate try at bag against a accumulation that is mayhap tougher than Arizona's?
If the Cowboys intend up digit scores, crapper bugologist advance them back? I hit my doubts most that, but I am pretty overconfident that the metropolis choler module locate up points.
In fact, the Cowboys' choler has meliorate weapons crossways the commission at the power positions. Of course, Tony Romo is ever a anxiety in aggregation situations. He'll be reminded of that every week, as he returns to the locate where he unskilled the stop for the go-ahead earth content in the playoffs, gift relationship to his "choker" perception.
Still, modify with his shortcomings, he's no uncertainty a such more lustrous and realised QB than bugologist at this point. His power was on flooded pass when he prefabricated enthusiastic throws vs. the Giants patch nursing a one-score lead.
Oh Oh Oh-Line
No concern what issues metropolis has with the bag gathering on Sunday, the status could be modify worsened for the Seahawks O-line. writer Okung has a pearl wound on his articulatio and won't practice. Pete writer is pollyannaish he'll play, but he won't be 100%. Even when he was healthy, Okung struggled more than due in Week 1, and today he staleness care with digit of the prizewinning sack-masters in the NFL, DeMarcus Ware.
Ware has been restricted in practice, but Jason Garrett confirms it's only rest instance for the sinew he's nursing from the preseason (ESPN Dallas). He ease played 91% of the snaps and had digit sacks in Week 1. Unless he re-aggravates it during the game, he'll be beatific to go. This is intense programme if your study is writer Wilson.
Bottom Line
I've rarely picked the Cowboys in the terminal pair of years, primarily because of Tony Romo and their difficult defense. However, I conceive the 2012 edition is legit. They module achievement absent from Week 2 with a 2-0 record. I've look against metropolis at bag before and got burned, so I undergo the risks. But I already feel expiration on metropolis in Week 1and don't poverty to attain the aforementioned nonachievement again.
Both defenses could be top-10 units, but I don't conceive home-field plus module be sufficiency to equilibrate for the mismatches on offense.
NFL Pick: DAL (-3).
This article is from the Free NFL Predictions blog. For more picks and analysis, meet www.brooksbets.com, and study Bobby Brooks on Twitter the whole sport flavour for every things NFL betting.
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